Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri likely in Afghan, Pak border region, probably alive but too frail: UN report

2 weeks ago 20

A important portion of the Al-Qaeda enactment resides successful the Afghanistan and Pakistan borderline region, including the group's elusive person Aiman al-Zawahiri, who is "probably live but excessively frail to beryllium featured successful propaganda," according to a United Nations report.

The report, issued connected Friday, said that ample numbers of Al-Qaeda fighters and different overseas extremist elements aligned with the Taliban are located successful assorted parts of Afghanistan.

"Member states reported that a important portion of Al-Qaeda enactment remains based successful the borderline portion of Afghanistan and Pakistan, wherever the halfway is joined by and works intimately with Al-Qaeda successful the Indian Subcontinent," the twelfth study of the Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team said.

Al Qaeda person "Aiman Muhammed Rabi al-Zawahiri, is believed to beryllium located determination successful the borderline portion of Afghanistan and Pakistan. Previous reports of his decease owed to sick wellness person not been confirmed.

"One subordinate authorities reports that helium is astir apt live but excessively frail to beryllium featured successful propaganda," the study said, without identifying the country.

It said Al-Qaeda's strategy successful the adjacent word is assessed arsenic maintaining its accepted harmless haven successful Afghanistan for the Al-Qaeda halfway leadership.

The Monitoring Team noted assessments that person suggested a longer-term Al-Qaeda halfway strategy of "strategic patience" for a play of clip earlier it would question to program attacks against planetary targets again.

"This script is untested against stated Taliban commitments to prohibit specified activities."

Al-Qaeda, including Al-Qaeda successful the Indian Subcontinent, is reported to fig successful the scope of respective twelve to 500 persons.

Al-Qaeda core's rank is of non-Afghan origin, consisting chiefly of nationals from North Africa and the Middle East.

"Member states measure that ceremonial connection betwixt elder Al-Qaeda and Taliban officials is presently infrequent, 1 subordinate authorities reported that determination is regular connection betwixt the Taliban and Al-Qaeda connected issues related to the bid process."

The study said Al-Qaeda successful the Indian Subcontinent operates nether the Taliban umbrella from Kandahar, Helmand (notably Baramcha) and Nimruz Provinces.

"The radical reportedly consists of chiefly Afghan and Pakistani nationals, but besides individuals from Bangladesh, India and Myanmar."

It said the existent person of Al-Qaeda successful the Indian Subcontinent is Osama Mahmood, who is not listed, and succeeded the precocious Asim Umar.

"The radical is reported to beryllium specified an 'organic' oregon indispensable portion of the insurgency that it would beryllium difficult, if not impossible, to abstracted it from its Taliban allies. Several subordinate states characterised this narration by noting that the woman of the erstwhile person of Al-Qaeda successful the Indian Subcontinent, Asim Umar, was among 5,000 Taliban prisoners freed by the Afghan Government successful 2020 arsenic portion of the Doha agreement," it said.

The study added that Al-Qaeda continued to endure attrition during the play nether reappraisal - betwixt May 2020 and April 2021 - with a fig of elder figures killed, often alongside Taliban associates portion co-located with them.

"The superior constituent of the Taliban successful dealing with Al-Qaeda is the Haqqani Network. Ties betwixt the 2 groups stay close, based connected ideological alignment, relationships forged done communal conflict and intermarriage," the study said.

It added that the Taliban has begun to tighten its power implicit Al-Qaeda by gathering accusation connected overseas violent fighters and registering and restricting them.

"However, it has not made immoderate concessions successful this respect that it could not easy and rapidly reverse, and it is intolerable to measure with assurance that the Taliban volition unrecorded up to its committedness to suppress immoderate aboriginal planetary menace emanating from Al-Qaeda successful Afghanistan.

Al-Qaida and like-minded militants proceed to observe developments successful Afghanistan arsenic a triumph for the Taliban's origin and frankincense for planetary radicalism."

In May 2020, Al-Qaeda successful the Indian Subcontinent released an Eid al-Fitr audio connection successful which it portrayed the Doha statement arsenic an illustration of divine triumph and reward for pursuing jihad.

"While some organisations are expected to support a posture of region and discretion for arsenic agelong arsenic specified is required for the accomplishment of Taliban objectives, Al-Qaeda nevertheless stands to payment from renewed credibility connected the backmost of Taliban gains.

"It volition beryllium important for the planetary assemblage to show immoderate motion of Afghanistan again becoming a destination for extremists with some determination and planetary agendas," it said.

Regionally, Islamic State successful Iraq and the Levant-Khorasan (ISIL-K) strategy is coordinated by the Al-Sadiq office, which covers the "Khorasan" portion of Central and South Asia (including Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, the Maldives, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Central Asian republics).

While infrequent, ISIL-K inactive maintains communications with ISIL core, but backing enactment to the Khorasan subdivision from the halfway is believed to person efficaciously dried up, it said.

Since June 2020, ISIL-K has had an "ambitious caller leader, Shahab al-Muhajir", who is not listed, and it remains progressive and dangerous, peculiarly if it is able, by positioning itself arsenic the sole axenic rejectionist radical successful Afghanistan, to enlistee disaffected Taliban and different militants to swell its ranks.